Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarense to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceFarense or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.28
Farense vs Feirense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Farense take on Feirense on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estádio de São Luís. Farense are 8th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Feirense sit 18th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Farense's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Chaves 4–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Feirense's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Salgueiros 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Farense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 April 2026, finished Farense 0–1 Feirense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Farense and 0.6 for Feirense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Farense 63%, draw 22%, Feirense 16%.
Safer route: Farense or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Farense to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Farense 1–0 Feirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farense63%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Feirense16%fair 6.38 · @4.50
2.08Expected goals
1.52Farense xG
0.56Feirense xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Farense 1.5 – 0.6 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Farense to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Farense vs Feirense?
On our numbers Farense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Feirense 16%.
How many goals will there be in Farense vs Feirense?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense vs Feirense?
Our predicted score is Farense 1–0 Feirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Farense vs Feirense?
Farense vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Luís.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
