Value bet: AVS to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFarense to win ✗39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57
AVS vs Farense preview and prediction
The match
AVS host Farense in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). AVS are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Farense sit 8th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AVS's last 5: LWDDL Most recently they lost to Lusitânia Lourosa 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Farense's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Sporting CP B 1–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for AVS and 1.4 for Farense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AVS 36%, draw 26%, Farense 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: AVS to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: AVS 1–1 Farense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AVS36%fair 2.79 · @3.00
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.90
Farense39%fair 2.59 · @2.30
2.67Expected goals
1.30AVS xG
1.37Farense xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AVS 1.3 – 1.4 Farense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Farense to win✗
39%
2.59
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Farense / FT Farense✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
AVS – last 6
LWDDLD
7 Sep
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Feirense
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Chaves
2–2
D
17 Aug
@ Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Sporting CP B
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Trofense
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Farense – last 6
LDWWLD
30 Aug
@ Sporting CP B
1–2
L
24 Aug
vs Felgueiras 1932
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ FC Porto B
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Torreense
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Fulham
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Benfica B
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AVS and Farense.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win AVS vs Farense?
On our numbers AVS have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Farense 39%.
How many goals will there be in AVS vs Farense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AVS vs Farense?
Our predicted score is AVS 1–1 Farense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AVS vs Farense?
AVS vs Farense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
