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Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio Municipal de Chaves

Chaves

LDLLL
1–0
FT

Chaves vs Feirense prediction & analysis

51%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChaves to win ✓47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.70

Win chances

Chaves47%fair 2.13 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Feirense30%fair 3.28 · @3.40
2.33Expected goals
1.33Chaves xG
1.00Feirense xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Chaves 1.3 – 1.0 Feirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Chaves hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 30% for Feirense.

Chaves have taken 1 points from their last 6 matches (0W 1D 5L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.3 per game. Feirense have 2 points from their last 6 (0W 2D 4L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Chaves, 1.0 for Feirense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Chaves have won 0, Feirense have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 51% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.85 is close to our fair price of 1.97.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChaves to win ✓47%2.132.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.48–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chaves / FT Chaves ✗26%3.86–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13%7.70–

Form

Chaves – last 6

LDLLLL
30 Aug@ Felgueiras 19321–2L
23 Augvs AVS2–2D
15 Aug@ Sporting CP B0–1L
8 Augvs Academica1–4L
1 Aug@ Guimaraes0–2L
25 Julvs Guimaraes B2–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Feirense – last 6

LLLLDD
5 Sepvs Sporting CP B1–3L
30 Aug@ AVS0–2L
24 Augvs FC Porto B0–1L
14 Aug@ Academica0–1L
9 Augvs Felgueiras 19320–0D
1 Aug@ União Lamas2–2D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Feb 2026Feirense v Chaves1–0

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chaves vs Feirense?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Chaves vs Feirense?

On our numbers Chaves have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Feirense 30%.

How many goals will there be in Chaves vs Feirense?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

When is Chaves vs Feirense?

Chaves vs Feirense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Chaves.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.