Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Vizela to win @ 1.86 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVizela to win ✗62% · @1.86
Double chanceVizela or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.51
Vizela vs Amarante preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Vizela take on Amarante on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Vizela are 9th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Amarante sit 14th on 9 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Vizela's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Portimonense 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Amarante's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Lusitânia Lourosa 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Vizela and 0.6 for Amarante. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vizela 62%, draw 22%, Amarante 15%.
Safer route: Vizela or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Vizela to win at 1.86 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vizela or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vizela 1–0 Amarante. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vizela62%fair 1.61 · @1.86
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.50
Amarante15%fair 6.45 · @3.75
2.15Expected goals
1.55Vizela xG
0.59Amarante xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Vizela 1.6 – 0.6 Amarante expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win✗
62%
1.61
1.86 ▲
Double chance
Vizela or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vizela / FT Vizela✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.51
–
Form
Vizela – last 6
LWLLLW
16 Aug
@ Portimonense
0–2
L
9 Aug
vs União de Leiria
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs SC Braga B
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Chaves
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Amarante – last 6
LLLLWD
16 Aug
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Tondela
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Moreirense
0–2
L
22 Jul
@ Chaves
1–2
L
10 May
vs União Santarém
1–0
W
1 May
@ Trofense
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vizela and Amarante.
Our pick is Vizela or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vizela vs Amarante?
On our numbers Vizela have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Amarante 15%.
How many goals will there be in Vizela vs Amarante?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vizela vs Amarante?
Our predicted score is Vizela 1–0 Amarante, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vizela vs Amarante?
Vizela vs Amarante (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
