Value bet: Chaves to win @ 2.58 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChaves to win ✗44% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.08
Sporting CP B vs Chaves preview and prediction
The match
Sporting CP B host Chaves in the Segunda Liga on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira. Sporting CP B are 2nd with 22 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Chaves sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sporting CP B's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat AVS 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Chaves's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Academica 1–4 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chaves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 March 2026, finished Sporting CP B 0–1 Chaves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Sporting CP B and 1.5 for Chaves. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sporting CP B 34%, draw 22%, Chaves 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Chaves to win at 2.58 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Sporting CP B 1–1 Chaves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sporting CP B34%fair 2.92 · @2.54
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Chaves44%fair 2.28 · @2.58
2.82Expected goals
1.30Sporting CP B xG
1.52Chaves xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sporting CP B 1.3 – 1.5 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
On our numbers Sporting CP B have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chaves 44%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Sporting CP B 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting CP B vs Chaves?
Sporting CP B vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
