União de Leiria vs Benfica B prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnião de Leiria to win ✗47% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.06
União de Leiria vs Benfica B preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees União de Leiria take on Benfica B on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa. União de Leiria are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Benfica B sit 3rd on 20 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
União de Leiria's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Vizela 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Benfica B's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Leixoes 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Benfica B arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for União de Leiria and 0.8 for Benfica B. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: União de Leiria 47%, draw 21%, Benfica B 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.28, so there is value in it. Predicted score: União de Leiria 1–0 Benfica B. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
União de Leiria47%fair 2.12 · @2.16
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Benfica B32%fair 3.12 · @3.00
1.88Expected goals
1.08União de Leiria xG
0.80Benfica B xG
55%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: União de Leiria 1.1 – 0.8 Benfica B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
União de Leiria to win✗
47%
2.12
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.36 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT União de Leiria / FT União de Leiria✗
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.06
–
Form
União de Leiria – last 6
LLWDDW
9 Aug
@ Vizela
0–1
L
28 Jul
@ Las Palmas
2–3
L
15 Jul
vs AD Marco 09
2–0
W
17 May
vs Feirense
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Benfica B – last 6
WWWWDD
10 Aug
vs Leixoes
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Atlético CP
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Mérida AD
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Casa Pia
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Farense
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Torreense
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between União de Leiria and Benfica B.
What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
On our numbers União de Leiria have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Benfica B 32%.
How many goals will there be in União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
Our predicted score is União de Leiria 1–0 Benfica B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is União de Leiria vs Benfica B?
União de Leiria vs Benfica B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
