Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVizela to win ✗47% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.68
Portimonense vs Vizela preview and prediction
The match
Portimonense host Vizela in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Portimonense are 10th with 14 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Vizela sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portimonense's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Penafiel 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Vizela's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat União de Leiria 1–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.7 for Portimonense and 1.0 for Vizela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.77 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Portimonense 0–1 Vizela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portimonense31%fair 3.25 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Vizela47%fair 2.11 · @1.97
1.78Expected goals
0.74Portimonense xG
1.04Vizela xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–017%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Portimonense 0.7 – 1.0 Vizela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win✗
47%
2.11
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.77 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.68
–
Form
Portimonense – last 6
WLLWWL
8 Aug
@ Penafiel
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nottingham Forest
1–2
L
15 Jul
vs Rio Ave
0–3
L
17 May
vs Farense
1–0
W
3 May
vs Chaves
3–2
W
25 Apr
@ Leixoes
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vizela – last 6
WLLLWW
9 Aug
vs União de Leiria
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs SC Braga B
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Chaves
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ SC Braga
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Vizela.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Vizela?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Portimonense vs Vizela?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Vizela 47%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Vizela?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Vizela?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 0–1 Vizela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Vizela?
Portimonense vs Vizela (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
