Value bet: Vizela to win @ 2.28 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVizela to win ✓53% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.42
Vizela vs União de Leiria preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda Liga sees Vizela take on União de Leiria on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Estádio do FC Vizela. Vizela are 9th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while União de Leiria sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vizela's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Celta de Vigo II 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
União de Leiria's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Las Palmas 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
União de Leiria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Vizela and 1.0 for União de Leiria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vizela 53%, draw 22%, União de Leiria 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Vizela to win at 2.28 – 53% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Vizela 1–0 União de Leiria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vizela53%fair 1.88 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
União de Leiria25%fair 3.98 · @2.88
2.60Expected goals
1.61Vizela xG
1.00União de Leiria xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vizela 1.6 – 1.0 União de Leiria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vizela to win✓
53%
1.88
2.28 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vizela / FT Vizela✓
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.42
–
Form
Vizela – last 6
LLLWWL
1 Aug
vs Celta de Vigo II
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Leixoes
2–3
L
25 Jul
vs SC Braga B
2–3
L
18 Jul
vs Chaves
1–0
W
14 Jul
@ SC Braga
5–0
W
11 Jul
vs Fafe
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
União de Leiria – last 6
LWDDWW
28 Jul
@ Las Palmas
2–3
L
15 Jul
vs AD Marco 09
2–0
W
17 May
vs Feirense
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Lusitânia Lourosa
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Chaves
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vizela and União de Leiria.
What is the prediction for Vizela vs União de Leiria?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Vizela vs União de Leiria?
On our numbers Vizela have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 22% and União de Leiria 25%.
How many goals will there be in Vizela vs União de Leiria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vizela vs União de Leiria?
Our predicted score is Vizela 1–0 União de Leiria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vizela vs União de Leiria?
Vizela vs União de Leiria (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do FC Vizela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
