Value bet: Torreense to win @ 2.18 – our chance 51% vs 46% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTorreense to win ✗51% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Farense vs Torreense preview and prediction
The match
Torreense travel to Estádio de São Luís in the Segunda Liga on Sunday 9 August (11:00 WAT) to face Farense. Farense are 8th with 15 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Torreense sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Farense's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Fulham 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Torreense's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to FC Porto 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.9 for Farense and 1.4 for Torreense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Torreense to win at 2.18 – 51% on our numbers against 46% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Farense 0–1 Torreense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Farense27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
Torreense51%fair 1.97 · @2.18
2.38Expected goals
0.94Farense xG
1.43Torreense xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–210%
0–09%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Farense 0.9 – 1.4 Torreense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torreense to win✗
51%
1.97
2.18 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torreense / FT Torreense✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.51
–
Form
Farense – last 6
LDDLWL
1 Aug
vs Fulham
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Benfica B
1–1
D
30 May
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–0
D
17 May
@ Portimonense
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Vizela
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Feirense
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Torreense – last 6
LDDWLD
1 Aug
@ FC Porto
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Estoril
0–0
D
18 Jul
@ Benfica B
1–1
D
15 Jul
vs Academica
5–0
W
28 May
@ Casa Pia
0–2
L
24 May
@ Sporting CP
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Farense and Torreense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Farense vs Torreense?
On our numbers Farense have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Torreense 51%.
How many goals will there be in Farense vs Torreense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Farense vs Torreense?
Our predicted score is Farense 0–1 Torreense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Farense vs Torreense?
Farense vs Torreense (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio de São Luís.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
