Segunda Liga · Portugal · Estadio do CD das AvesAVS vs Sporting CP B prediction & analysis
AVS or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 55% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +80%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: AVS 1.4 – 1.1 Sporting CP B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
AVS hold the edge on home soil with a 29% chance of winning, against 16% for Sporting CP B, and a draw (55%) is a real possibility.
AVS have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Sporting CP B have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. AVS come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for AVS, 1.1 for Sporting CP B). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is AVS or draw at a 84% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is better than our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Draw at 3.30 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 3.30 ▲ |
| Double chance | AVS or draw ✗ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.44 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT AVS / FT AVS ✗ | 25% | 3.96 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–1 ✗ | 13% | 7.85 | – |
Form
AVS – last 6
| 31 Jul | vs Trofense | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jul | vs Vianense | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jul | @ Pacos Ferreira | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Jul | vs Paredes | 2–4 | L |
| 18 Jul | @ Moreirense | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jul | @ Maritimo | 0–2 | L |
Sporting CP B – last 6
| 1 Aug | @ Alverca | 0–1 | L |
| 1 May | vs Benfica B | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Apr | @ Vizela | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Apr | vs Felgueiras 1932 | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Apr | vs Penafiel | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | @ Feirense | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AVS and Sporting CP B.
Segunda Liga table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Penafiel | 10 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP B | 10 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Benfica B | 10 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 10 | +6 | 19 |
| 5 |  União de Leiria | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academica | 10 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 |  Tondela | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 |  Farense | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 10 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Portimonense | 10 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 |  AVS | 10 | +1 | 13 |
| 12 |  Leixoes | 10 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 |  Torreense | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Amarante | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Felgueiras 1932 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 |  FC Porto B | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Chaves | 10 | -10 | 8 |
| 18 |  Feirense | 10 | -8 | 5 |
More Segunda Liga predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for AVS vs Sporting CP B?
Our pick is AVS or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AVS vs Sporting CP B?
On our numbers AVS have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 55% and Sporting CP B 16%.
How many goals will there be in AVS vs Sporting CP B?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is AVS vs Sporting CP B?
AVS vs Sporting CP B (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do CD das Aves.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.