Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓94% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.68
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC preview and prediction
The match
Ammanford AFC travel to Park Hall in the Premier League on Friday 23 October (19:45 WAT) to face The New Saints. The New Saints are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Ammanford AFC sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
The New Saints's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Airbus UK 2–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.5 per game.
Ammanford AFC's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat FC Cwmaman 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
The New Saints arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.8 for The New Saints and 0.7 for Ammanford AFC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 45% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: The New Saints 80%, draw 14%, Ammanford AFC 6%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.20.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: The New Saints 2–0 Ammanford AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The New Saints80%fair 1.25 · @1.03
Draw14%fair 7.30 · @19.00
Ammanford AFC6%fair 15.89 · @51.00
3.54Expected goals
2.82The New Saints xG
0.72Ammanford AFC xG
45%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
3–011%
2–18%
1–08%
3–18%
4–08%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.8 – 0.7 Ammanford AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
80%
1.25
1.03
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
94%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.20
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✓
57%
1.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.68
–
Form
The New Saints – last 6
WWWWWW
16 Oct
@ Airbus UK
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Holywell
6–1
W
3 Oct
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–0
W
26 Sep
@ Trefelin
3–1
W
19 Sep
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
15 Sep
vs Flint Town United
5–0
W
4.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Ammanford AFC – last 6
WWWLLD
17 Oct
@ FC Cwmaman
4–2
W
9 Oct
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Holywell
2–1
W
26 Sep
@ Flint Town United
0–3
L
18 Sep
vs Penybont
1–5
L
15 Sep
@ Barry Town
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Ammanford AFC.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Ammanford AFC 6%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Ammanford AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC?
The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
