Penybont travel to Bartons North Wales Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 23 October (19:45 WAT) to face Holywell. Holywell are 16th with 2 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Penybont sit 3rd on 36 points (in the top four). A gap of 34 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Holywell's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Llay Miners Welfare 3–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Penybont's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Afan Lido 3–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Penybont arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.2 for Holywell and 2.5 for Penybont. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 70% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pick: Both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Holywell 1–2 Penybont. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Holywell17%fair 6.05 · @10.00
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @5.50
Penybont67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
3.62Expected goals
1.15Holywell xG
2.47Penybont xG
59%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–18%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: Holywell 1.2 – 2.5 Penybont expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
Penybont or draw
83%
1.20
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.64
–
Form
Holywell – last 6
DLLDLL
17 Oct
@ Llay Miners Welfare
3–3
D
9 Oct
vs The New Saints
1–6
L
3 Oct
@ Ammanford AFC
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
0–5
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Penybont – last 6
WWLWWW
18 Oct
@ Afan Lido
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Barry Town
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Airbus UK
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–1
W
15 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
3–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Penybont.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Holywell vs Penybont?
On our numbers Holywell have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Penybont 67%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Penybont?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Penybont?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–2 Penybont, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs Penybont?
Holywell vs Penybont (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bartons North Wales Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
