Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry prediction & analysis
61%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceCaernarfon Town or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Caernarfon Town take on Briton Ferry on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at The Oval. Caernarfon Town are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Briton Ferry sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Caernarfon Town's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Flint Town United 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Briton Ferry's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Afan United 5–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Caernarfon Town arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Caernarfon Town and 1.0 for Briton Ferry. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caernarfon Town 65%, draw 20%, Briton Ferry 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Caernarfon Town 2–1 Briton Ferry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caernarfon Town65%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.80
Briton Ferry15%fair 6.87 · @7.50
3.31Expected goals
2.29Caernarfon Town xG
1.02Briton Ferry xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 2.3 – 1.0 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✓
65%
1.53
1.33
Double chance
Caernarfon Town or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
Caernarfon Town – last 6
WWLDWD
17 Oct
@ Flint Town United
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Barry Town
0–1
L
26 Sep
@ Cardiff MET
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–1
W
15 Sep
@ Llandudno
1–1
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Briton Ferry – last 6
WLWDDL
16 Oct
vs Afan United
5–0
W
9 Oct
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–2
L
3 Oct
vs Colwyn Bay
1–0
W
26 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Penybont
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and Briton Ferry.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Briton Ferry 15%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 2–1 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry?
Caernarfon Town vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
