The New Saints vs Briton Ferry prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓72% · @1.17
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.63
The New Saints vs Briton Ferry preview and prediction
The match
Briton Ferry travel to Park Hall in the Premier League on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT) to face The New Saints. The New Saints are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Briton Ferry sit 12th on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
The New Saints's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Haverfordwest County AFC 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Briton Ferry's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Cambrian & Clydach 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Briton Ferry arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for The New Saints and 0.6 for Briton Ferry. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: The New Saints 72%, draw 19%, Briton Ferry 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: The New Saints 2–0 Briton Ferry. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The New Saints72%fair 1.39 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @6.00
Briton Ferry9%fair 11.28 · @13.00
2.56Expected goals
2.01The New Saints xG
0.55Briton Ferry xG
51%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–016%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.0 – 0.6 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Half-time result
The New Saints ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.63
–
Form
The New Saints – last 6
WDWLLL
7 Aug
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Penybont
0–0
D
30 Jul
vs Flora Tallinn
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Flora Tallinn
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Sabah FA
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Briton Ferry – last 6
DWLWLW
7 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–1
D
31 Jul
vs Ammanford AFC
2–1
W
21 Jul
@ Merthyr Town
0–3
L
3 Apr
vs Cardiff MET
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ Cardiff MET
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Briton Ferry.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Briton Ferry 9%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?
The New Saints vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
