GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGAP Connah S Quay FC to win ✓66% · @1.28
Double chanceGAP Connah S Quay FC or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin preview and prediction
The match
Trefelin travel to Essity Stadium in the Premier League on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT) to face GAP Connah S Quay FC. GAP Connah S Quay FC are 2nd with 38 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Trefelin sit 15th on 6 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
GAP Connah S Quay FC's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Holywell 3–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Trefelin's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Llandudno 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for GAP Connah S Quay FC and 1.0 for Trefelin. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: GAP Connah S Quay FC 66%, draw 20%, Trefelin 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Trefelin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
GAP Connah S Quay FC66%fair 1.51 · @1.28
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @5.25
Trefelin14%fair 7.39 · @8.20
3.28Expected goals
2.30GAP Connah S Quay FC xG
0.97Trefelin xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: GAP Connah S Quay FC 2.3 – 1.0 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
GAP Connah S Quay FC to win✓
66%
1.51
1.28
Double chance
GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Half-time result
GAP Connah S Quay FC ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT GAP Connah S Quay FC / FT GAP Connah S Quay FC✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
GAP Connah S Quay FC – last 6
WLLDWL
7 Aug
@ Holywell
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Ballkani
2–3
L
8 Jul
vs Ballkani
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Queen of the South
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ The New Saints
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LLWWWL
7 Aug
vs Llandudno
0–4
L
31 Jul
@ Colwyn Bay
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Treowen Stars
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
8–1
W
27 Mar
@ Pontypridd Town
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between GAP Connah S Quay FC and Trefelin.
What is the prediction for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
On our numbers GAP Connah S Quay FC have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Trefelin 14%.
How many goals will there be in GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is GAP Connah S Quay FC 2–1 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin?
GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Essity Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
