Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 58% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓73% · @1.25
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.75
The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC preview and prediction
The match
The New Saints host Haverfordwest County AFC in the Premier League on Friday 7 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Park Hall. The New Saints are 1st with 44 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Haverfordwest County AFC sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
The New Saints's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Penybont 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Haverfordwest County AFC's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Airbus UK 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Haverfordwest County AFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.5 for The New Saints and 0.2 for Haverfordwest County AFC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: The New Saints 73%, draw 20%, Haverfordwest County AFC 7%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 58% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: The New Saints 1–0 Haverfordwest County AFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
The New Saints73%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @5.00
Haverfordwest County AFC7%fair 14.81 · @9.40
1.75Expected goals
1.53The New Saints xG
0.22Haverfordwest County AFC xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–027%
2–020%
0–017%
3–010%
1–16%
2–14%
From our goals model: The New Saints 1.5 – 0.2 Haverfordwest County AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
The New Saints to win✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Double chance
The New Saints or draw✓
93%
1.07
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.48 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT The New Saints / FT The New Saints✓
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
27%
3.75
–
Form
The New Saints – last 6
DWLLLW
2 Aug
@ Penybont
0–0
D
30 Jul
vs Flora Tallinn
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Flora Tallinn
0–1
L
14 Jul
vs Sabah FA
1–2
L
7 Jul
@ Sabah FA
0–2
L
26 Jun
@ H&W Welders
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Haverfordwest County AFC – last 6
LWLWWW
1 Aug
vs Airbus UK
0–1
L
21 Jul
vs Caerau (Ely)
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Hamilton Academical
0–4
L
3 Apr
@ Flint Town United
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Briton Ferry
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Cardiff MET
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between The New Saints and Haverfordwest County AFC.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Haverfordwest County AFC 7%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 1–0 Haverfordwest County AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
