Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFamalicao to win ✓51% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.42
Rio Ave vs Famalicao preview and prediction
The match
The Primeira Liga sees Rio Ave take on Famalicao on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT). Rio Ave are 17th with 7 points from 11 games (in the bottom three), while Famalicao sit 10th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Rio Ave's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Louletano 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Famalicao's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Paredes 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Rio Ave and 1.7 for Famalicao. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rio Ave 27%, draw 22%, Famalicao 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rio Ave27%fair 3.70 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Famalicao51%fair 1.96 · @2.00
2.88Expected goals
1.17Rio Ave xG
1.71Famalicao xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Rio Ave 1.2 – 1.7 Famalicao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Famalicao to win✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Famalicao / FT Famalicao✗
30%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.42
–
Form
Rio Ave – last 6
WWLDLL
17 Oct
@ Louletano
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Nacional
3–2
W
19 Sep
@ Alverca
0–1
L
14 Sep
vs Estrela
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–4
L
28 Aug
vs Sporting CP
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Famalicao – last 6
LLWDDD
18 Oct
@ Paredes
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Alverca
1–4
L
19 Sep
@ Nacional
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sporting CP
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Estrela
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs GIL Vicente
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rio Ave and Famalicao.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
On our numbers Rio Ave have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Famalicao 51%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
Our predicted score is Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Rio Ave vs Famalicao?
Rio Ave vs Famalicao (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.