Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Braga to win ✗67% · @1.55
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗12% · fair 8.13
Nacional vs SC Braga preview and prediction
The match
Nacional host SC Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Nacional are 13th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while SC Braga sit 8th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Nacional's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Sanjoanense 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
SC Braga's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Gent 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SC Braga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.8 for Nacional and 2.1 for SC Braga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nacional 12%, draw 21%, SC Braga 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SC Braga to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nacional 0–2 SC Braga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nacional12%fair 8.36 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.90
SC Braga67%fair 1.50 · @1.55
2.88Expected goals
0.79Nacional xG
2.09SC Braga xG
55%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%
From our goals model: Nacional 0.8 – 2.1 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✗
67%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
SC Braga ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
12%
8.13
–
Form
Nacional – last 6
LLLLLL
17 Oct
@ Sanjoanense
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Rio Ave
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Famalicao
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs Alverca
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Sporting CP
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Estrela
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
WLLLDW
22 Oct
vs Gent
2–0
W
19 Oct
vs GIL Vicente
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
0–3
L
9 Oct
vs Sporting CP
1–3
L
20 Sep
@ Santa Clara
0–0
D
14 Sep
vs Estoril
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nacional and SC Braga.
Our pick is SC Braga to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nacional vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Nacional have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SC Braga 67%.
How many goals will there be in Nacional vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nacional vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Nacional 0–2 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nacional vs SC Braga?
Nacional vs SC Braga (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
