The Primeira Liga sees Estoril take on Moreirense on Sunday 25 October, kicking off at 16:30 (WAT) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. Estoril are 18th with 2 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Moreirense sit 9th on 14 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Estoril's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with Salgueiros 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Moreirense's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to AVS 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 April 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Estoril.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Estoril and 0.8 for Moreirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Estoril to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Estoril 1–0 Moreirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Estoril57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.40
Moreirense22%fair 4.60 · @3.75
2.44Expected goals
1.60Estoril xG
0.84Moreirense xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Estoril 1.6 – 0.8 Moreirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Estoril to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Estoril vs Moreirense?
On our numbers Estoril have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Moreirense 22%.
How many goals will there be in Estoril vs Moreirense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estoril vs Moreirense?
Our predicted score is Estoril 1–0 Moreirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Estoril vs Moreirense?
Estoril vs Moreirense (Primeira Liga) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
