SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSC Paderborn 07 to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV preview and prediction
The match
SC Paderborn 07 host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are 13th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Hamburger SV sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SC Paderborn 07's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Werder Bremen 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Hamburger SV's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat VfB Stuttgart 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Hamburger SV arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for SC Paderborn 07 and 1.3 for Hamburger SV. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger SV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SC Paderborn 0746%fair 2.16 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.60
Hamburger SV33%fair 3.00 · @3.00
2.92Expected goals
1.61SC Paderborn 07 xG
1.31Hamburger SV xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: SC Paderborn 07 1.6 – 1.3 Hamburger SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Paderborn 07 to win✓
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Paderborn 07 / FT SC Paderborn 07✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Form
SC Paderborn 07 – last 6
DLWWLL
17 Oct
@ Werder Bremen
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs VfB Stuttgart
0–2
L
1 Oct
@ DC United
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Borussia Dortmund
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs SC Freiburg
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hamburger SV – last 6
WWWWLL
17 Oct
vs VfB Stuttgart
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
3–2
W
4 Oct
vs FC Copenhagen
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs 1. FC Köln
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ RB Leipzig
0–5
L
6 Sep
vs FSV Mainz 05
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV.
What is the prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
On our numbers SC Paderborn 07 have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hamburger SV 33%.
How many goals will there be in SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
Our predicted score is SC Paderborn 07 1–1 Hamburger SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV?
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Home Deluxe Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
