Value bet: FC Augsburg to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Augsburg to win ✗61% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.13
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin preview and prediction
The match
FC Augsburg host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on Saturday 24 October, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at WWK Arena. FC Augsburg are 14th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Union Berlin sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC Augsburg's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to SV Elversberg 3–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Union Berlin's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Borussia Dortmund 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.6 for FC Augsburg and 1.5 for Union Berlin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Augsburg 61%, draw 19%, Union Berlin 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Value angle: FC Augsburg to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Augsburg61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw19%fair 5.21 · @3.80
Union Berlin20%fair 4.99 · @3.70
4.17Expected goals
2.64FC Augsburg xG
1.53Union Berlin xG
68%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
1–16%
3–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: FC Augsburg 2.6 – 1.5 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Augsburg to win✗
61%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
FC Augsburg ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Augsburg / FT FC Augsburg✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.13
–
Form
FC Augsburg – last 6
LDDLDW
17 Oct
@ SV Elversberg
3–4
L
10 Oct
vs Bayern München
2–2
D
2 Oct
vs Hertha BSC
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Bayer Leverkusen
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Union Berlin – last 6
DWLLLD
17 Oct
vs Borussia Dortmund
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs SV Elversberg
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Bayern München
0–7
L
11 Sep
vs FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
D
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Augsburg and Union Berlin.
What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers FC Augsburg have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Union Berlin 20%.
How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our predicted score is FC Augsburg 2–1 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at WWK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
