Value bet: SV Elversberg to win @ 2.70 – our chance 46% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSV Elversberg to win ✗46% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.74
Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees Union Berlin take on SV Elversberg on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at An der Alten Försterei. Union Berlin are 16th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while SV Elversberg sit 7th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Union Berlin's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Bayern München 0–7 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 3.8 conceded.
SV Elversberg's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with FC Schalke 04 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
SV Elversberg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.1 for Union Berlin and 2.4 for SV Elversberg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union Berlin 33%, draw 20%, SV Elversberg 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.44.
Value angle: SV Elversberg to win at 2.70 – 46% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Union Berlin 2–2 SV Elversberg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union Berlin33%fair 2.99 · @2.25
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
SV Elversberg46%fair 2.16 · @2.70
4.50Expected goals
2.07Union Berlin xG
2.43SV Elversberg xG
71%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
2–36%
1–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Union Berlin 2.1 – 2.4 SV Elversberg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SV Elversberg to win✗
46%
2.16
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
SV Elversberg ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SV Elversberg / FT SV Elversberg✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.74
–
Form
Union Berlin – last 6
LLLDWL
18 Sep
@ Bayern München
0–7
L
11 Sep
vs FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
29 Aug
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
D
23 Aug
@ Eintracht Braunschweig
4–2
W
15 Aug
vs Ipswich
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SV Elversberg – last 6
DLWWWW
20 Sep
@ FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Bayern München
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Borussia Mönchengladbach
4–3
W
29 Aug
vs Bayer Leverkusen
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ MSV Duisburg
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs Lorient
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union Berlin and SV Elversberg.
What is the prediction for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
On our numbers Union Berlin have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SV Elversberg 46%.
How many goals will there be in Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
Our predicted score is Union Berlin 2–2 SV Elversberg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at An der Alten Försterei.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
