FC Augsburg vs Bayern München prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBayern München to win ✗77% · @1.17
Double chanceBayern München or draw ✓94% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗8% · fair 12.02
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees FC Augsburg take on Bayern München on Saturday 10 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at WWK Arena. FC Augsburg are 14th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Bayern München sit 1st on 21 points (top of the table). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Augsburg's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Hertha BSC 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Bayern München's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Union Berlin 7–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bayern München arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.0 for FC Augsburg and 3.1 for Bayern München. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Augsburg 6%, draw 17%, Bayern München 77%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: FC Augsburg 1–3 Bayern München. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Augsburg6%fair 16.39 · @12.00
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @8.50
Bayern München77%fair 1.29 · @1.17
4.13Expected goals
0.99FC Augsburg xG
3.14Bayern München xG
62%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–38%
1–38%
0–28%
1–28%
0–47%
1–46%
From our goals model: FC Augsburg 1.0 – 3.1 Bayern München expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayern München to win✗
77%
1.29
1.17
Double chance
Bayern München or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Bayern München ahead at half-time✗
61%
1.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayern München / FT Bayern München✗
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
8%
12.02
–
Form
FC Augsburg – last 6
DLDWWW
2 Oct
vs Hertha BSC
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ Werder Bremen
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Bayer Leverkusen
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
4–1
W
30 Aug
vs FC Schalke 04
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bayern München – last 6
WWWDWW
18 Sep
vs Union Berlin
7–0
W
13 Sep
@ SV Elversberg
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs BodoGlimt
5–0
W
5 Sep
@ FC Schalke 04
0–0
D
2 Sep
@ VfL Osnabrück
4–1
W
28 Aug
vs VfB Stuttgart
5–1
W
3.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Augsburg and Bayern München.
What is the prediction for FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
On our numbers FC Augsburg have a 6% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bayern München 77%.
How many goals will there be in FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
Our predicted score is FC Augsburg 1–3 Bayern München, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is FC Augsburg vs Bayern München?
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at WWK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.