Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Leipzig to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceRB Leipzig or draw ✗83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig preview and prediction
The match
The Bundesliga sees Werder Bremen take on RB Leipzig on Saturday 5 September, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Weserstadion. Werder Bremen are 6th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while RB Leipzig sit 4th on 18 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Werder Bremen's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to SC Freiburg 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
RB Leipzig's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Werder Bremen and 2.6 for RB Leipzig. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was RB Leipzig or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Werder Bremen17%fair 5.93 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.90
RB Leipzig60%fair 1.65 · @1.75
4.00Expected goals
1.41Werder Bremen xG
2.59RB Leipzig xG
66%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: Werder Bremen 1.4 – 2.6 RB Leipzig expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Leipzig to win✗
60%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
RB Leipzig or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
RB Leipzig ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Leipzig / FT RB Leipzig✗
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Werder Bremen – last 6
LWLDWW
30 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Lüneburger SK Hansa
3–0
W
15 Aug
vs Auxerre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs SC Paderborn 07
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Energie Cottbus
4–2
W
25 Jul
vs VfL Bochum
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
RB Leipzig – last 6
WWLLWW
29 Aug
vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
3–0
W
22 Aug
@ Eintracht Trier
6–0
W
15 Aug
@ Bayern München
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Leeds
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Verl
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs FC Ingolstadt 04
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig.
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Our pick is RB Leipzig or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
On our numbers Werder Bremen have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 60%.
How many goals will there be in Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Our predicted score is Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Weserstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
