Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✓90% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.57
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗6% · fair 15.87
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin preview and prediction
The match
Union Berlin travel to BayArena in the Bundesliga on Saturday 5 September (14:30 WAT) to face Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen are 5th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Union Berlin sit 16th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Bayer Leverkusen's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to SV Elversberg 2–3 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Union Berlin's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Union Berlin 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 5.5 goals: 3.8 for Bayer Leverkusen and 1.7 for Union Berlin. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bayer Leverkusen 70%, draw 20%, Union Berlin 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bayer Leverkusen to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 Union Berlin. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bayer Leverkusen70%fair 1.42 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.60
Union Berlin10%fair 10.42 · @6.00
5.50Expected goals
3.76Bayer Leverkusen xG
1.74Union Berlin xG
67%Both score
91%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–16%
4–16%
3–25%
4–25%
2–15%
5–14%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 3.8 – 1.7 Union Berlin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Union Berlin 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
We expect about 5.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 91% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 Union Berlin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.5 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
