Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Rouen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRouen to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.47
Rouen vs Concarneau preview and prediction
The match
Rouen host Concarneau in the National 1 on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 14:45 (WAT) at Stade Robert Diochon. Rouen are 2nd with 26 points from 12 games (in the top four), while Concarneau sit 6th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Rouen's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Gobelins 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Concarneau's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Bastia 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Concarneau 0–0 Rouen.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Rouen and 0.7 for Concarneau. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rouen 61%, draw 25%, Concarneau 14%.
Safer route: Rouen or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Rouen to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rouen or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rouen 1–0 Concarneau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rouen61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.00
Concarneau14%fair 7.18 · @3.50
2.40Expected goals
1.70Rouen xG
0.70Concarneau xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rouen 1.7 – 0.7 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?
On our numbers Rouen have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Concarneau 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Concarneau?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Concarneau?
Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Rouen vs Concarneau?
Rouen vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
