Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Orleans to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrleans to win ✗64% · @1.75
Double chanceOrleans or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.03
Orleans vs Villefranche preview and prediction
The match
Orleans host Villefranche in the National 1 on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 14:45 (WAT) at Stade de la Source. Orleans are 14th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Villefranche sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Orleans's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Quevilly 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Villefranche's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Cannes 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Orleans 0–0 Villefranche.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Orleans and 0.8 for Villefranche. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Orleans to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Orleans or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Orleans 1–0 Villefranche. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Orleans64%fair 1.55 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.30
Villefranche15%fair 6.75 · @3.90
2.75Expected goals
1.95Orleans xG
0.80Villefranche xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Orleans 1.9 – 0.8 Villefranche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orleans vs Villefranche?
Our pick is Orleans or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Orleans vs Villefranche?
On our numbers Orleans have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Villefranche 15%.
How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Villefranche?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Villefranche?
Our predicted score is Orleans 1–0 Villefranche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Orleans vs Villefranche?
Orleans vs Villefranche (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
