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Segunda División RFEF Group 5 · Spain

Real Valladolid II

LWDWD
Sun 15 Nov 2026

Numancia

WWDLD

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNumancia to win44% · @2.21
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.97

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia preview and prediction

The match

Real Valladolid II host Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 15 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Real Valladolid II are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Numancia sit 1st on 19 points (top of the table). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Real Valladolid II's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Real Madrid III 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Numancia's last 5: WWDLD Most recently they beat Calvo Sotelo 6–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Real Valladolid II and 1.6 for Numancia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Prediction

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Real Valladolid II31%fair 3.18 · @2.81
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.22
Numancia44%fair 2.26 · @2.21
2.82Expected goals
1.27Real Valladolid II xG
1.56Numancia xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.3 – 1.6 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Footrivo team ratings

Real Valladolid IINumancia
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average+36%+11%
Goals conceded vs average+19%-45%
Our expected goals here1.261.54

Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNumancia to win44%2.262.21
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.321.24
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.701.63
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals76%1.321.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals52%1.911.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.31
Half-time resultLevel at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Numancia / FT Numancia26%3.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.97–

Form

Real Valladolid II – last 6

LWDWDW
7 Nov@ Real Madrid III0–3L
1 Novvs Getafe II4–3W
25 Oct@ Guadalajara4–4D
18 Octvs Real Ávila2–1W
11 Oct@ Gimnástica Segoviana1–1D
4 Octvs Calvo Sotelo3–0W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Numancia – last 6

WWDLDD
8 Novvs Calvo Sotelo6–0W
1 Nov@ Atlético Tordesillas2–1W
29 Octvs Oviedo3–3D
24 Octvs Navalcarnero2–3L
18 Octvs CF Talavera0–0D
11 Oct@ Real Ávila1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Numancia.

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia head-to-head page →

Segunda División RFEF Group 5 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Numancia10541+1119
2Salamanca UDS10613+519
3SS Reyes10613+419
4Conquense9531+918
5A Madrid III10532+318
6Real Valladolid II10523+617
7Navalcarnero10442+316
8CF Talavera9432+315
9Guadalajara10343013
10Albacete II10334-1112
11Real Madrid III10253-111
12Atlético Tordesillas10244010
13RSD Alcalá10244-110
14Gimnástica Segoviana10244-110
15Atlético Paso10244-210
16Getafe II10154-48
17Real Ávila10217-107
18Calvo Sotelo10136-146

More Segunda División RFEF Group 5 predictions

League hub
RSD Alcalá A Madrid III 154%1.79X20%3.60225%3.54 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.42
SS Reyes Real Madrid III 155%1.57X27%3.20217%5.90 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50
Atlético Tordesillas Atlético Paso 148%1.97X23%3.28229%3.28 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28
Navalcarnero Getafe II 151%2.00X22%3.35227%3.12 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22
Conquense Guadalajara 161%1.74X20%3.58219%3.78 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20
Gimnástica Segoviana Real Ávila 152%2.02X22%3.42226%3.02 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.35
Calvo Sotelo CF Talavera 121%3.85X24%3.48256%1.75 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Numancia 44%.

How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?

Real Valladolid II vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.