Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.71 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultConquense to win61% · @1.74
Double chanceConquense or draw81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.85
Conquense vs Guadalajara preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees Conquense take on Guadalajara on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Conquense are 4th with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Guadalajara sit 9th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Conquense's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with RSD Alcalá 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Guadalajara's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Navalcarnero 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.5 for Conquense and 1.2 for Guadalajara. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.71 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Conquense61%fair 1.64 · @1.74
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @3.58
Guadalajara19%fair 5.25 · @3.78
3.73Expected goals
2.53Conquense xG
1.20Guadalajara xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Conquense 2.5 – 1.2 Guadalajara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Conquense
Guadalajara
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+39%
+32%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
+34%
Our expected goals here
3.12
1.29
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win
61%
1.64
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Conquense or draw
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.62
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.71 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.36
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.85
–
Form
Conquense – last 6
DLWDWL
1 Nov
vs RSD Alcalá
2–2
D
29 Oct
vs Castellón
0–3
L
25 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Atlético Paso
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Albacete II
4–0
W
4 Oct
@ A Madrid III
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Guadalajara – last 6
DWDLWD
8 Nov
vs Navalcarnero
2–2
D
1 Nov
@ Calvo Sotelo
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Real Valladolid II
4–4
D
18 Oct
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Getafe II
4–1
W
7 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Guadalajara.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Guadalajara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Conquense vs Guadalajara?
On our numbers Conquense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Guadalajara 19%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Guadalajara?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Guadalajara?
Our predicted score is Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Guadalajara?
Conquense vs Guadalajara (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
