Value bet: Real Valladolid II to win @ 2.20 – our chance 48% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Valladolid II to win ✓48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.37
Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila preview and prediction
The match
Real Ávila travel to face Real Valladolid II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 18 October (10:30 WAT). Real Valladolid II are 6th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Real Ávila sit 17th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Real Valladolid II's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Real Ávila's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Numancia 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Real Valladolid II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Real Valladolid II and 1.1 for Real Ávila. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Real Valladolid II 48%, draw 22%, Real Ávila 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Real Valladolid II to win at 2.20 – 48% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Real Valladolid II 1–1 Real Ávila. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Real Valladolid II48%fair 2.07 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Real Ávila29%fair 3.40 · @3.00
2.67Expected goals
1.54Real Valladolid II xG
1.13Real Ávila xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.5 – 1.1 Real Ávila expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Valladolid II to win✓
48%
2.07
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Valladolid II / FT Real Valladolid II✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.37
–
Form
Real Valladolid II – last 6
DWLWLW
11 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Calvo Sotelo
3–0
W
27 Sep
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Albacete II
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ SS Reyes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Real Ávila – last 6
DLWWLL
11 Oct
vs Numancia
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ SS Reyes
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Getafe II
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs Calvo Sotelo
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ A Madrid III
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Real Ávila.
What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila?
On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Ávila 29%.
How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila?
Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–1 Real Ávila, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila?
Real Valladolid II vs Real Ávila (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
