RSD Alcalá travel to face Calvo Sotelo in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT). Calvo Sotelo are 18th with 6 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while RSD Alcalá sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Calvo Sotelo's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Real Valladolid II 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
RSD Alcalá's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Navalcarnero 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Calvo Sotelo and 1.6 for RSD Alcalá. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Calvo Sotelo 1–1 RSD Alcalá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Calvo Sotelo34%fair 2.94 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
RSD Alcalá42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
3.00Expected goals
1.41Calvo Sotelo xG
1.59RSD Alcalá xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 1.4 – 1.6 RSD Alcalá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RSD Alcalá to win✗
42%
2.38
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
LWLDLW
4 Oct
@ Real Valladolid II
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Real Ávila
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
0–3
L
2 Apr
@ Marchamalo
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
RSD Alcalá – last 6
LLWLWD
4 Oct
vs Navalcarnero
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Salamanca UDS
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
5–2
W
13 Sep
@ Guadalajara
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs CF Talavera
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and RSD Alcalá.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and RSD Alcalá 42%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 1–1 RSD Alcalá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá?
Calvo Sotelo vs RSD Alcalá (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
