Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.50Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultConquense to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceConquense or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.59
Conquense vs Albacete II preview and prediction
The match
Albacete II travel to face Conquense in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 11 October (17:00 WAT). Conquense are 4th with 18 points from 9 games (in the top four), while Albacete II sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Conquense's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to A Madrid III 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Albacete II's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to CF Talavera 0–4 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Conquense and 0.9 for Albacete II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 50% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Conquense 68%, draw 18%, Albacete II 14%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Conquense to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Conquense 2–0 Albacete II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Conquense68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.70
Albacete II14%fair 7.34 · @5.50
3.23Expected goals
2.30Conquense xG
0.93Albacete II xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Conquense 2.3 – 0.9 Albacete II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Double chance
Conquense or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
9.59
–
Form
Conquense – last 6
LWWWDL
4 Oct
@ A Madrid III
2–3
L
27 Sep
@ Navalcarnero
3–1
W
20 Sep
vs Salamanca UDS
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Getafe II
2–2
D
31 May
vs UD Ourense
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Albacete II – last 6
LDLWDW
3 Oct
vs CF Talavera
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Atlético Paso
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
1–6
L
12 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
4–3
W
6 Sep
@ Real Madrid III
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Leioa
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Albacete II.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Albacete II?
Our pick is Conquense to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Conquense vs Albacete II?
On our numbers Conquense have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Albacete II 14%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Albacete II?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Albacete II?
Our predicted score is Conquense 2–0 Albacete II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Albacete II?
Conquense vs Albacete II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
