Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNumancia to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.92
Numancia vs Guadalajara preview and prediction
The match
Guadalajara travel to face Numancia in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 27 September (16:30 WAT). Numancia are 1st with 19 points from 10 games (top of the table), while Guadalajara sit 9th on 13 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Numancia's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with SS Reyes 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Guadalajara's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat RSD Alcalá 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Numancia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Numancia and 0.8 for Guadalajara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 43%.
Our pre-match pick was Numancia to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Numancia 1–0 Guadalajara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Numancia59%fair 1.70 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.40
Guadalajara22%fair 4.56 · @4.10
2.40Expected goals
1.59Numancia xG
0.81Guadalajara xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Numancia 1.6 – 0.8 Guadalajara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
6.92
–
Form
Numancia – last 6
DWWWLL
19 Sep
@ SS Reyes
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs A Madrid III
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Atlético Paso
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Zaragoza
2–1
W
17 May
@ Poblense
1–2
L
10 May
vs Poblense
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guadalajara – last 6
WLLWLD
13 Sep
vs RSD Alcalá
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Salamanca UDS
2–3
L
18 Aug
@ Marchamalo
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Racing Ferrol
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Osasuna II
3–4
L
22 Mar
vs CF Talavera
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Numancia and Guadalajara.
What is the prediction for Numancia vs Guadalajara?
Our pick is Numancia to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Numancia vs Guadalajara?
On our numbers Numancia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Guadalajara 22%.
How many goals will there be in Numancia vs Guadalajara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Numancia vs Guadalajara?
Our predicted score is Numancia 1–0 Guadalajara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Numancia vs Guadalajara?
Numancia vs Guadalajara (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
