Value bet: Real Valladolid II to win @ 3.40 – our chance 41% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultReal Valladolid II to win ✗41% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.26
CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 5 sees CF Talavera take on Real Valladolid II on Sunday 27 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Prado. CF Talavera are 8th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Real Valladolid II sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
CF Talavera's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Getafe II 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Real Valladolid II's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Albacete II 6–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Valladolid II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for CF Talavera and 1.2 for Real Valladolid II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 49%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CF Talavera 33%, draw 25%, Real Valladolid II 41%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Real Valladolid II to win at 3.40 – 41% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.83. Predicted score: CF Talavera 0–1 Real Valladolid II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CF Talavera33%fair 2.99 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.90
Real Valladolid II41%fair 2.43 · @3.40
2.33Expected goals
1.09CF Talavera xG
1.24Real Valladolid II xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: CF Talavera 1.1 – 1.2 Real Valladolid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Valladolid II to win✗
41%
2.43
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Valladolid II / FT Real Valladolid II✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.26
–
Form
CF Talavera – last 6
DDDLLD
20 Sep
@ Getafe II
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Real Madrid III
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Navalcarnero
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ RSD Alcalá
0–3
L
19 Aug
vs Getafe II
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Illescas
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Valladolid II – last 6
WLWDWW
20 Sep
vs Albacete II
6–1
W
12 Sep
@ SS Reyes
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Navalcarnero
1–0
W
12 Aug
vs Leganés II
3–3
D
3 May
vs Burgos Promesas
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Deportivo La Coruña II
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CF Talavera and Real Valladolid II.
What is the prediction for CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?
On our numbers CF Talavera have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Valladolid II 41%.
How many goals will there be in CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?
Our predicted score is CF Talavera 0–1 Real Valladolid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II?
CF Talavera vs Real Valladolid II (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Prado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
