Albacete II vs Atlético Paso prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Albacete II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Albacete II to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlbacete II to win ✗58% · @1.95
Double chanceAlbacete II or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.98
Albacete II vs Atlético Paso preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Paso travel to face Albacete II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 on Sunday 27 September (11:00 WAT). Albacete II are 10th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Atlético Paso sit 15th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Albacete II's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Real Valladolid II 1–6 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlético Paso's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to A Madrid III 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Albacete II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Albacete II and 0.9 for Atlético Paso. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Albacete II 58%, draw 24%, Atlético Paso 17%.
Safer route: Albacete II or draw (83%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Albacete II to win at 1.95 – 58% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Albacete II or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Albacete II 1–0 Atlético Paso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Albacete II58%fair 1.71 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Atlético Paso17%fair 5.79 · @3.70
2.83Expected goals
1.89Albacete II xG
0.94Atlético Paso xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Albacete II 1.9 – 0.9 Atlético Paso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albacete II to win✗
58%
1.71
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Albacete II or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Albacete II ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albacete II / FT Albacete II✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.98
–
Form
Albacete II – last 6
LWDWLW
20 Sep
@ Real Valladolid II
1–6
L
12 Sep
vs Atlético Tordesillas
4–3
W
6 Sep
@ Real Madrid III
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Leioa
2–0
W
13 Jun
@ Leioa
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Manchego
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atlético Paso – last 6
LDLDWD
19 Sep
vs A Madrid III
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs Numancia
0–2
L
10 May
@ Herbania
1–1
D
3 May
vs Las Palmas III
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Telde
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete II and Atlético Paso.
What is the prediction for Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
Our pick is Albacete II or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
On our numbers Albacete II have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Paso 17%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
Our predicted score is Albacete II 1–0 Atlético Paso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Albacete II vs Atlético Paso?
Albacete II vs Atlético Paso (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
