Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Marbella or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Marbella to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMarbella to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceMarbella or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.00
Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas preview and prediction
The match
Marbella host Mijas Las Lagunas in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Banus Football Center. Marbella are 15th with 10 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Mijas Las Lagunas sit 7th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Marbella's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Xerez 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mijas Las Lagunas's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Real Betis II 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Mijas Las Lagunas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Marbella and 0.9 for Mijas Las Lagunas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marbella 60%, draw 26%, Mijas Las Lagunas 14%.
Safer route: Marbella or draw (86%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Marbella to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Marbella or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marbella 1–0 Mijas Las Lagunas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marbella60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Mijas Las Lagunas14%fair 7.28 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.98Marbella xG
0.90Mijas Las Lagunas xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Marbella 2.0 – 0.9 Mijas Las Lagunas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marbella to win✗
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Marbella or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Marbella ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marbella / FT Marbella✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.00
–
Form
Marbella – last 6
LDLLDW
25 Oct
@ Xerez
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Estepona
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Badajoz
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Real Betis II
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Puente Genil
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Atlético Central
4–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mijas Las Lagunas – last 6
DWWDWD
24 Oct
vs Real Betis II
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
11 Oct
vs Sevilla Atletico
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Sanluqueño
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Tamaraceite
6–2
W
20 Sep
@ Antoniano
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Mijas Las Lagunas.
What is the prediction for Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Our pick is Marbella or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
On our numbers Marbella have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mijas Las Lagunas 14%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–0 Mijas Las Lagunas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas?
Marbella vs Mijas Las Lagunas (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Banus Football Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
