Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño preview and prediction
The match
Sanluqueño travel to face Ciudad de Lucena in the Segunda División RFEF Group 4 on Sunday 1 November (18:30 WAT). Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd with 19 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Sanluqueño sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ciudad de Lucena's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Rayo Majadahonda 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanluqueño's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Las Palmas II 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ciudad de Lucena arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.7 for Ciudad de Lucena and 1.3 for Sanluqueño. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ciudad de Lucena 49%, draw 22%, Sanluqueño 28%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 Sanluqueño. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ciudad de Lucena49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Sanluqueño28%fair 3.53 · @3.50
3.00Expected goals
1.74Ciudad de Lucena xG
1.26Sanluqueño xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Lucena 1.7 – 1.3 Sanluqueño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Lucena to win✓
49%
2.03
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ciudad de Lucena / FT Ciudad de Lucena✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.53
–
Form
Ciudad de Lucena – last 6
LDWWWW
27 Oct
vs Rayo Majadahonda
0–1
L
24 Oct
@ Estepona
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Xerez
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Don Benito
4–2
W
4 Oct
vs Puente Genil
1–0
W
27 Sep
@ Antoniano
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanluqueño – last 6
WLDDLD
25 Oct
vs Las Palmas II
4–1
W
18 Oct
@ Badajoz
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Recreativo Huelva
3–3
D
4 Oct
vs Mijas Las Lagunas
2–2
D
26 Sep
@ Don Benito
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Sevilla Atletico
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Lucena and Sanluqueño.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
On our numbers Ciudad de Lucena have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanluqueño 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 Sanluqueño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño?
Ciudad de Lucena vs Sanluqueño (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
