Segunda División RFEF Group 4 · SpainTamaraceite vs Xerez prediction & analysis
Xerez or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Xerez to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Tamaraceite 0.7 – 1.4 Xerez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Xerez shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 20% for Tamaraceite.
Tamaraceite have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.2 per game. Xerez have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (0.7 for Tamaraceite, 1.4 for Xerez). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (18%), 0–0 (13%), 0–2 (12%).
Our pick is Xerez or draw at a 80% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.25. For a bigger price, Xerez to win at 1.91 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Xerez to win ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Xerez or draw ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 2.00 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Xerez / FT Xerez ✓ | 32% | 3.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 18% | 5.62 | – |
Form
Tamaraceite – last 6
| 25 Oct | @ Atlético Central | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Real Betis II | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Puente Genil | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Antoniano | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Mijas Las Lagunas | 2–6 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Recreativo Huelva | 1–3 | L |
Xerez – last 6
| 29 Oct | vs Cadiz | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | vs Marbella | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Ciudad de Lucena | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Real Betis II | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Tenerife II | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Recreativo Huelva | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tamaraceite and Xerez.
Segunda División RFEF Group 4 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Recreativo Huelva | 10 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |  Don Benito | 10 | +5 | 20 |
| 3 |  Ciudad de Lucena | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Badajoz | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Real Betis II | 9 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 |  Xerez | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 7 |  Mijas Las Lagunas | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  Estepona | 10 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Atlético Central | 10 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 |  Sevilla Atletico | 10 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 |  Linares Deportivo | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Puente Genil | 10 | +1 | 12 |
| 13 |  Sanluqueño | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 |  Tenerife II | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 |  Marbella | 10 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 |  Antoniano | 10 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 |  Tamaraceite | 10 | -15 | 6 |
| 18 |  Las Palmas II | 10 | -13 | 5 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 4 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Tamaraceite vs Xerez?
Our pick is Xerez or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tamaraceite vs Xerez?
On our numbers Tamaraceite have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Xerez 57%.
How many goals will there be in Tamaraceite vs Xerez?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Tamaraceite vs Xerez?
Tamaraceite vs Xerez (Segunda División RFEF Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.