Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain
Valencia II
Lorca Deportiva
Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
Value bet: Lorca Deportiva to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Valencia II 1.4 – 1.2 Lorca Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Valencia II and Lorca Deportiva on our numbers – 41% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 24% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Valencia II have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Lorca Deportiva have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. Lorca Deportiva come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Valencia II, 1.2 for Lorca Deportiva). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Lorca Deportiva to win at 3.20 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Valencia II to win ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.36 | 1.23 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Valencia II / FT Valencia II ✗ | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.96 | – |
Form
Valencia II – last 6
| 31 Oct | vs Castellonense | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Orihuela | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | @ Elche II | 1–4 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Peña Deportiva | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Poblense | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Castellón II | 1–2 | L |
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Poblense | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Real Murcia II | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Atlético Baleares | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ La Nucía | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Castellón II | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Castellonense | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valencia II and Lorca Deportiva.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
Castellón II0
Peña Deportiva1
1Castellón II to win
65%@1.35
✗
FT
Poblense1
Cieza0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.35
✗
FT
Castellonense3
Alcoyano4
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
66%@1.37
✓
FT
Atlético Baleares1
La Nucía2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.26
✓
FT
Mallorca II2
Yeclano1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
64%@1.40
✓
FT
Real Murcia II0
Deportiva Minera2
2Deportiva Minera to win
65%@1.81
✓
FT
Orihuela0
Ucam Murcia0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.23
✗
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
On our numbers Valencia II have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lorca Deportiva 35%.
How many goals will there be in Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva?
Valencia II vs Lorca Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.