
Orihuela

Ucam Murcia
Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Orihuela 1.2 – 1.7 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ucam Murcia shade it despite being away from home – 50% to win, against 29% for Orihuela.
Orihuela have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.0 per game. Ucam Murcia have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 3.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Ucam Murcia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (1.2 for Orihuela, 1.7 for Ucam Murcia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.23 is close to our fair price of 1.31.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ucam Murcia to win ✗ | 50% | 2.01 | 2.02 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.31 | 1.23 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 1.81 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia ✗ | 29% | 3.41 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 10.55 | – |
Form
Orihuela – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Yeclano | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | vs Valencia II | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | @ Mallorca II | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Peña Deportiva | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Cieza | 0–4 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs Castellón II | 1–4 | L |
Ucam Murcia – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Mallorca II | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Cieza | 2–4 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Alcoyano | 2–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Elche II | 5–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Intercity | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Atlético Baleares | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Ucam Murcia.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Orihuela have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ucam Murcia 50%.
How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia?
Orihuela vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.