Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain
Castellón II
Peña Deportiva
Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva prediction & analysis
Castellón II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Castellón II 2.2 – 0.9 Peña Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Castellón II are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 13% for Peña Deportiva.
Castellón II have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.2 per game. Peña Deportiva have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Castellón II come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Castellón II, 0.9 for Peña Deportiva). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (10%).
Our pick is Castellón II to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Castellón II to win ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| Double chance | Castellón II or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.56 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.68 |
| Half-time result | Castellón II ahead at half-time ✗ | 49% | 2.04 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Castellón II / FT Castellón II ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.43 | – |
Form
Castellón II – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Elche II | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs La Nucía | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Poblense | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs Lorca Deportiva | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ Orihuela | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Valencia II | 2–1 | W |
Peña Deportiva – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Atlético Baleares | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Poblense | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Orihuela | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Valencia II | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Real Murcia II | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Elche II | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellón II and Peña Deportiva.
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
Poblense1
Cieza0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
68%@1.35
✗
FT
Castellonense3
Alcoyano4
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
66%@1.37
✓
FT
Atlético Baleares1
La Nucía2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
75%@1.26
✓
FT
Mallorca II2
Yeclano1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
64%@1.40
✓
FT
Real Murcia II0
Deportiva Minera2
2Deportiva Minera to win
65%@1.81
✓
FT
Orihuela0
Ucam Murcia0
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
77%@1.23
✗
FT
Valencia II1
Lorca Deportiva1
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.23
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
Our pick is Castellón II to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
On our numbers Castellón II have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Peña Deportiva 13%.
How many goals will there be in Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva?
Castellón II vs Peña Deportiva (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.