Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain
Castellonense
Alcoyano
Castellonense vs Alcoyano prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.37 · Won ✓
Value bet: Castellonense to win @ 2.69 – our chance 43% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Castellonense 1.2 – 1.1 Alcoyano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Castellonense hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 35% for Alcoyano.
Castellonense have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Alcoyano have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.2 for Castellonense, 1.1 for Alcoyano). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (13%), 0–1 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.37 is close to our fair price of 1.51. For a bigger price, Castellonense to win at 2.69 is our value angle (43% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Castellonense to win ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | 2.69 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | 1.92 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.37 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Castellonense / FT Castellonense ✗ | 23% | 4.36 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 8.00 | – |
Form
Castellonense – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Valencia II | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Oct | vs Almeria | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Oct | @ Intercity | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Deportiva Minera | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Real Murcia II | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Lorca Deportiva | 0–1 | L |
Alcoyano – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Real Murcia II | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Atlético Baleares | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Ucam Murcia | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ Mallorca II | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Deportiva Minera | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Poblense | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellonense and Alcoyano.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.
Who will win Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
On our numbers Castellonense have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alcoyano 35%.
How many goals will there be in Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Castellonense vs Alcoyano?
Castellonense vs Alcoyano (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.