Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · Spain

Poblense

LLWDW
1–0
FT

Cieza

LLWWW

Poblense vs Cieza prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: Cieza to win @ 2.57 – our chance 41% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultCieza to win ✗41% · @2.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.60

Win chances

Poblense34%fair 2.93 · @2.54
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.98
Cieza41%fair 2.42 · @2.57
2.39Expected goals
1.12Poblense xG
1.27Cieza xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Poblense 1.1 – 1.3 Cieza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Cieza shade it despite being away from home – 41% to win, against 34% for Poblense.

Poblense have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.5 per game. Cieza have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.1 for Poblense, 1.3 for Cieza). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is close to our fair price of 1.47. For a bigger price, Cieza to win at 2.57 is our value angle (41% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCieza to win ✗41%2.422.57 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.841.86
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.471.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.741.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.18
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cieza / FT Cieza ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.60–

Form

Poblense – last 6

LLWDWL
1 Nov@ Lorca Deportiva0–2L
29 Octvs AD Ceuta FC1–2L
25 Octvs Peña Deportiva1–0W
18 Oct@ Yeclano2–2D
11 Octvs Castellón II2–1W
4 Oct@ Atlético Baleares1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cieza – last 6

LLWWWD
1 Novvs Deportiva Minera0–1L
29 Octvs Granada CF0–3L
25 Oct@ Ucam Murcia4–2W
11 Octvs Intercity3–1W
4 Oct@ Orihuela4–0W
27 Sepvs Atlético Baleares1–1D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Poblense and Cieza.

More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions

FT Castellón II0 Peña Deportiva1 652213 1Castellón II to win 65%@1.35 ✗ FT Castellonense3 Alcoyano4 432235 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.37 ✓ FT Atlético Baleares1 La Nucía2 612317 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.26 ✓ FT Mallorca II2 Yeclano1 392536 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.40 ✓ FT Real Murcia II0 Deportiva Minera2 122365 2Deportiva Minera to win 65%@1.81 ✓ FT Orihuela0 Ucam Murcia0 292150 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.23 ✗ FT Valencia II1 Lorca Deportiva1 412435 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Poblense vs Cieza?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Poblense vs Cieza?

On our numbers Poblense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cieza 41%.

How many goals will there be in Poblense vs Cieza?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Poblense vs Cieza?

Poblense vs Cieza (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.