Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: La Nucía to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLa Nucía to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceLa Nucía or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.05
La Nucía vs Intercity preview and prediction
The match
La Nucía host Intercity in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). La Nucía are 5th with 15 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Intercity sit 9th on 13 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
La Nucía's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Castellón II 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Intercity's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Castellonense 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
La Nucía arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for La Nucía and 0.7 for Intercity. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: La Nucía 61%, draw 25%, Intercity 14%.
Safer route: La Nucía or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Value angle: La Nucía to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was La Nucía or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: La Nucía 1–0 Intercity. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
La Nucía61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Intercity14%fair 7.23 · @3.60
2.53Expected goals
1.79La Nucía xG
0.75Intercity xG
44%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: La Nucía 1.8 – 0.7 Intercity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Nucía to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
La Nucía or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
La Nucía ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Nucía / FT La Nucía✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.05
–
Form
La Nucía – last 6
LLLWWW
25 Oct
@ Castellón II
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Lorca Deportiva
1–3
L
4 Oct
@ Deportiva Minera
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Mallorca II
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Yeclano
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
5–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Intercity – last 6
LLDWDD
24 Oct
vs Castellonense
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Cieza
1–3
L
4 Oct
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Ucam Murcia
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Lorca Deportiva
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Nucía and Intercity.
Our pick is La Nucía or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win La Nucía vs Intercity?
On our numbers La Nucía have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Intercity 14%.
How many goals will there be in La Nucía vs Intercity?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Nucía vs Intercity?
Our predicted score is La Nucía 1–0 Intercity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is La Nucía vs Intercity?
La Nucía vs Intercity (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
