Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlcoyano to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceAlcoyano or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91
Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II preview and prediction
The match
Alcoyano host Real Murcia II in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 1 November, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Collao. Alcoyano are 7th with 14 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Real Murcia II sit 15th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Alcoyano's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Atlético Baleares 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Murcia II's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Lorca Deportiva 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Alcoyano and 0.7 for Real Murcia II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alcoyano 66%, draw 22%, Real Murcia II 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 51% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Alcoyano to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Alcoyano 1–0 Real Murcia II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alcoyano66%fair 1.52 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Real Murcia II12%fair 8.12 · @7.00
2.57Expected goals
1.89Alcoyano xG
0.68Real Murcia II xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alcoyano 1.9 – 0.7 Real Murcia II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcoyano to win✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Double chance
Alcoyano or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Alcoyano ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcoyano / FT Alcoyano✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.91
–
Form
Alcoyano – last 6
LLWWWL
25 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Ucam Murcia
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Mallorca II
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Deportiva Minera
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Poblense
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Castellón II
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Murcia II – last 6
WDLWLL
25 Oct
vs Lorca Deportiva
3–2
W
11 Oct
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Castellonense
0–3
L
27 Sep
@ Peña Deportiva
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Mallorca II
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ La Nucía
1–5
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcoyano and Real Murcia II.
What is the prediction for Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
Our pick is Alcoyano to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
On our numbers Alcoyano have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Murcia II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
Our predicted score is Alcoyano 1–0 Real Murcia II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II?
Alcoyano vs Real Murcia II (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
