Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultYeclano to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceYeclano or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.45
Yeclano vs Poblense preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División RFEF Group 3 sees Yeclano take on Poblense on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Campo de la Constitucion. Yeclano are 14th with 11 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Poblense sit 11th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Yeclano's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Real Murcia II 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Poblense's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Castellón II 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Yeclano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Yeclano and 0.4 for Poblense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yeclano 62%, draw 25%, Poblense 12%.
Safer route: Yeclano or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yeclano to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yeclano 1–0 Poblense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yeclano62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @2.90
Poblense12%fair 8.26 · @4.40
1.83Expected goals
1.40Yeclano xG
0.43Poblense xG
45%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–016%
1–110%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Yeclano 1.4 – 0.4 Poblense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yeclano to win✗
62%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Yeclano or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yeclano / FT Yeclano✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.45
–
Form
Yeclano – last 6
DDWLDW
11 Oct
@ Real Murcia II
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Intercity
1–1
D
27 Sep
vs Elche II
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs La Nucía
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Peña Deportiva
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Atlético Baleares
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Poblense – last 6
WLWLLL
11 Oct
vs Castellón II
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Atlético Baleares
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Alcoyano
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Castellonense
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ La Nucía
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yeclano and Poblense.
Our pick is Yeclano to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Yeclano vs Poblense?
On our numbers Yeclano have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Poblense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Yeclano vs Poblense?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yeclano vs Poblense?
Our predicted score is Yeclano 1–0 Poblense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Yeclano vs Poblense?
Yeclano vs Poblense (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de la Constitucion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
