Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia prediction & analysis
52%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.91 · bookmaker 1.85
3/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUcam Murcia to win50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.43
Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia preview and prediction
The match
Ucam Murcia travel to face Peña Deportiva in the Segunda División RFEF Group 3 on Sunday 18 October (10:30 WAT). Peña Deportiva are 18th with 7 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Ucam Murcia sit 2nd on 19 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Peña Deportiva's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Orihuela 3–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ucam Murcia's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Alcoyano 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ucam Murcia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Peña Deportiva and 1.7 for Ucam Murcia. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 52%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Peña Deportiva 1–1 Ucam Murcia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Peña Deportiva27%fair 3.70 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Ucam Murcia50%fair 1.98 · @2.00
2.92Expected goals
1.19Peña Deportiva xG
1.73Ucam Murcia xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Peña Deportiva 1.2 – 1.7 Ucam Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ucam Murcia to win
50%
1.98
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ucam Murcia / FT Ucam Murcia
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.43
–
Form
Peña Deportiva – last 6
WLLLDL
11 Oct
vs Orihuela
3–1
W
4 Oct
@ Valencia II
2–3
L
27 Sep
vs Real Murcia II
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Elche II
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Yeclano
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Deportiva Minera
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ucam Murcia – last 6
WWLWWL
11 Oct
vs Alcoyano
2–0
W
3 Oct
@ Elche II
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Intercity
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Atlético Baleares
4–1
W
13 Sep
vs Valencia II
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Castellonense
1–2
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Peña Deportiva and Ucam Murcia.
What is the prediction for Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
On our numbers Peña Deportiva have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ucam Murcia 50%.
How many goals will there be in Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
Our predicted score is Peña Deportiva 1–1 Ucam Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia?
Peña Deportiva vs Ucam Murcia (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
