Segunda División RFEF Group 3 · SpainLorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lorca Deportiva 1.3 – 1.2 Atlético Baleares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lorca Deportiva hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 33% for Atlético Baleares.
Lorca Deportiva have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Atlético Baleares have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Lorca Deportiva, 1.2 for Atlético Baleares). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.82, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lorca Deportiva to win ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | 2.40 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 76% | 1.31 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.27 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Lorca Deportiva / FT Lorca Deportiva ✗ | 24% | 4.18 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.04 | – |
Form
Lorca Deportiva – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ La Nucía | 3–1 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Castellón II | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Castellonense | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs Intercity | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sep | @ Orihuela | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Elche II | 1–1 | D |
Atlético Baleares – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Mallorca II | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Poblense | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Cieza | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Ucam Murcia | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Intercity | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sep | @ Yeclano | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lorca Deportiva and Atlético Baleares.
Segunda División RFEF Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportiva Minera | 9 | +7 | 20 |
| 2 |  Ucam Murcia | 10 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  Castellón II | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 |  Castellonense | 9 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  La Nucía | 9 | +1 | 15 |
| 6 |  Cieza | 9 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Alcoyano | 9 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Lorca Deportiva | 10 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Intercity | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |  Atlético Baleares | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 11 |  Poblense | 10 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Orihuela | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 13 |  Mallorca II | 10 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |  Yeclano | 10 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Real Murcia II | 9 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |  Elche II | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Valencia II | 9 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |  Peña Deportiva | 10 | -6 | 7 |
More Segunda División RFEF Group 3 predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
On our numbers Lorca Deportiva have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Baleares 33%.
How many goals will there be in Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares?
Lorca Deportiva vs Atlético Baleares (Segunda División RFEF Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.