Value bet: Peña Sport to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPeña Sport to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87
Calamocha vs Peña Sport preview and prediction
The match
Calamocha host Peña Sport in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT) at Municipal de Tarazona. Calamocha are 18th with 5 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Peña Sport sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Calamocha's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Ebro 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Peña Sport's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Náxara 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Peña Sport arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Calamocha and 1.6 for Peña Sport. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Calamocha 32%, draw 24%, Peña Sport 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Peña Sport to win at 2.50 – 45% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Calamocha 1–1 Peña Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Calamocha32%fair 3.17 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @2.80
Peña Sport45%fair 2.24 · @2.50
2.83Expected goals
1.27Calamocha xG
1.56Peña Sport xG
56%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Calamocha 1.3 – 1.6 Peña Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Peña Sport to win✗
45%
2.24
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Peña Sport / FT Peña Sport✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Form
Calamocha – last 6
LLLWLD
10 Oct
@ Ebro
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Osasuna II
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Tudelano
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs UD Logroñés II
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Espanyol II
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Cuarte
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Peña Sport – last 6
LWLWLD
10 Oct
@ Náxara
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs SD Logroñés
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–4
L
19 Sep
vs Espanyol II
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Manresa
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Utebo
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calamocha and Peña Sport.
What is the prediction for Calamocha vs Peña Sport?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Calamocha vs Peña Sport?
On our numbers Calamocha have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Peña Sport 45%.
How many goals will there be in Calamocha vs Peña Sport?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calamocha vs Peña Sport?
Our predicted score is Calamocha 1–1 Peña Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Calamocha vs Peña Sport?
Calamocha vs Peña Sport (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Tarazona.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
