Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: SD Logroñés to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSD Logroñés to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceSD Logroñés or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
SD Logroñés vs Náxara preview and prediction
The match
Náxara travel to Estadio Las Gaunas in the Segunda División RFEF Group 2 on Sunday 18 October (16:00 WAT) to face SD Logroñés. SD Logroñés are 15th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Náxara sit 16th on 6 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
SD Logroñés's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Barcelona B 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Náxara's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Peña Sport 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Náxara arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for SD Logroñés and 0.7 for Náxara. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: SD Logroñés to win at 1.85 – 62% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SD Logroñés or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: SD Logroñés 1–0 Náxara. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SD Logroñés62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Náxara16%fair 6.29 · @4.00
2.36Expected goals
1.67SD Logroñés xG
0.69Náxara xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: SD Logroñés 1.7 – 0.7 Náxara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SD Logroñés to win✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
SD Logroñés or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SD Logroñés / FT SD Logroñés✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.35
–
Form
SD Logroñés – last 6
LLLDDL
10 Oct
@ Barcelona B
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Peña Sport
0–4
L
27 Sep
vs Olot
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Girona II
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ Utebo
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Espanyol II
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Náxara – last 6
WDLLLW
10 Oct
vs Peña Sport
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Barbastro
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Reddis
0–1
L
13 Sep
vs Olot
1–2
L
6 Sep
@ Barcelona B
0–5
L
14 Aug
@ Haro Deportivo
4–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SD Logroñés and Náxara.
Our pick is SD Logroñés or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
On our numbers SD Logroñés have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Náxara 16%.
How many goals will there be in SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
Our predicted score is SD Logroñés 1–0 Náxara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is SD Logroñés vs Náxara?
SD Logroñés vs Náxara (Segunda División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Las Gaunas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
